But it requires a degree of willful ignorance not to ask whether China is in fact seeking (or will inevitably seek) to establish itself as the world’s leading power and how it might go about achieving that goal. (AP Photo/Marcio Jose Sanchez) By Hal Brands and Jake Sullivan | May 22, 2020. 31, 2020.
If Chinese leaders worry that their domestic legitimacy is slipping, they might behave more belligerently in a crisis, for fear that war is less dangerous than humiliation.Beijing might even gamble that the US would stay out of a short, sharp war with Japan over the Senkaku Islands or the Philippines over Scarborough Shoal, and that gamble might not pay off. This road runs through China’s home region, specifically the Western Pacific. The architects of America’s China strategy, no matter how instinctively accommodating or confrontational they might be, must face this issue squarely.If true superpower status is China’s desired destination, there are two roads it might take to try to get there. Copyright: 1978 - 2020 © H H Saudi Research and Marketing LTD, All Rights Reserved And subject to Terms of Use Agreement Special Report: A Collapsing Economy and a Family Feud Pile Pressure on Assad in Syria Yet the Communist Party’s ambitions for political control do not end at its own frontiers. It never had to face a superpower that viewed the United States as its greatest challenge, as opposed to simply viewing it as an annoyance or a lesser rival that should be appeased to ensure its support against more pressing threats. Conflict tends to occur when one party decides that war, or actions risking war, is preferable to living with the status quo or backing down in a crisis. The app’s dominance forces people to adopt self-censorship to stay in touch.An arrogant and bloated army bears its share of responsibility for Kashmiri suffering.Beijing has quietly been seeding the U.N. and a host of other international organizations with its own nationals, racking up more influence even as Washington is in headlong retreat.Calls for fundamental political reform are gaining momentum in Lebanon after a deadly twin explosion this month laid bare government negligence.Xi Jinping’s China is displaying a superpower’s ambition. His latest book is "American Grand Strategy in the Age of Trump." No, thanks. A satellite image shows oil containment booms around blue bay marine park to contain oil washing ashore from Japanese owned carrier ship which is leaking oil after it ran aground off the southeast coast of Mauritius, 12 August 2020. But in any of these cases, Beijing would be making a deliberate choice to seek key objectives through the use of coercion or force, with the knowledge that a larger conflict is a real possibility. And the only way of mitigating the costs of that approach — as the UK and a number of allies seem to have figured out — is to simultaneously promote greater coordination and integration among like-minded countries.That may seem like an ambitious agenda, amid fratricidal trade spats and poisonous political disputes among the world’s leading democracies. Hal Brands responds to Graham Allison’s case for great-power “spheres of influence.” Skip to main content × Close dialog. Establishing memorandums of understanding on how military forces operating in close proximity should conduct themselves, creating mechanisms for communication in a crisis, and other steps to encourage de-escalation is helpful.What is critical, however, is maintaining the military balance of power, and the perception of US commitment, that makes it less likely that Chinese leaders could imagine a war in the region going their way.
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